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Photo finish expected in Ontario election

Thursday, June 12, 2014   by: Carol Martin

Ipsos is predicting a very close finish between the three main parties vying for leadership in Ontario.

The respected global independent market research company has released the results of its last poll conducted before today's election and it's saying the split between the parties is so even that every vote will count. 

"The outcome of a tight horse race will be determined by the party that can rally its supporters to get out and vote," says the latest release from Ipsos. "The poll suggests that the Tories continue to have this advantage, as they have throughout the election campaign, although the margin is tightening."

Ipsos places Wynn's Liberals in a narrow lead overall in the province with 33 percent of people polled either saying they voted Liberal in the advance polls or have decided they will vote Liberal tomorrow.

That's two points less than the last Ipsos poll indicated.

The latest poll also says 31 percent of decided voters support Hudak's Conservatives (down four points) and 30 percent support Horwath's NDPs (up four points).

An additional five percent of decided voters say they would vote for another party, including Schreiner’s Green Party (up one point).

Ipsos predicts the race in Northern Ontario will be even more tight than the province overall but it qualifies its result with a caveat that the result is based on a small number of people surveyed.

The results show a near dead heat race with the Liberals at 33 percent, the NDP at 32 percent, and the PCs at 31 percent while others trail at four percent.

To find out if you are on the voters list, where to vote, and what you'll need to be able to vote visit Elections Ontario's website


Note: Comments that appear on the site are not the opinion of If you see an abusive post, please click the link beside the post to report it.
Justin Tetreault 6/12/2014 1:03:51 AM Report

Ipsos is an online poll. Online polls are notoriously unreliable. Both Forum and Ekos have the Liberals approaching a majority. Of the 5 main polling companies, Ipsos is the only one with these types of numbers for the NDP. Everyone else has the NDP well back. It makes sense with NDP supporters being younger and more likely to vote in online polls.
Justin Tetreault 6/12/2014 1:05:22 AM Report

The Northern Ontario results show just how messed up these results are. The PCs wrote off the North and are only competitive in one seat (North Bay), yet they are tied with the NDP and Liberals? Not going to happen.
Gurpy 6/12/2014 6:16:40 AM Report

I don`t rely upon this particular poll either! NDP`S WILL take it this time around! There is no way Ontarians would be foolish enough to vote Liberal again!
MYPOINT 6/12/2014 7:09:54 AM Report

David O has got to GO
PC Fremlin might be nice but at what price?
This is to say .. NDP all the way

Your views may differ :)
Sam The Dog 6/12/2014 7:13:02 AM Report

What politician doesn't have his/her Mug stuck in a media shot.
bounder 6/12/2014 7:19:35 AM Report

Wynne is out Hudack is in, doesn't matter who wins in the local here as the winner is going to be a (gopher) for the party, of no value at all,for Northern Ontario , just like David O.
Jimssm 6/12/2014 7:24:29 AM Report

Locally, polls Sault Ste. Marie as follows:

Orazietti : 53.3%
Ross : 30.6%
Fremlin : 12.3%
Other : 3.9%
Gurpy 6/12/2014 7:27:18 AM Report

I don`t believe for a moment that David O is in the lead! People in this city cannot possibly be that stupid!
psjj 6/12/2014 7:31:47 AM Report

I respect and applaud the NDP for their socialist platforms. I get it they want to protect and feed the less fortunate but we have organizations and government departments dedicated to this. We don't want the rest of the government run by these departments.
NDP is an acronym for NOT DEDICATED to PROSPERITY. We have suffered too much under past NDP rule.
They will empty the pot trying to help the less fortunate and ultimately the next government will inherit the mess and end up hacking and slashing to try to balance the books making today's beneficiaries tomorrow's victims.
frizz 6/12/2014 8:21:16 AM Report

GoHoundsGo 6/12/2014 8:26:29 AM Report

What a bunch of beauties in this city and province. A vote for the Liberals is a approval of blatent corruption and mismanagement. Justin...there is no way you can defend that, even being the (Lie)beral troll that you are. Please try to defend the billions lost by your party...I dare you. I once liked the liberals, but the corruption and mismanagement has ended that. And theres just no way I can vote PC which are akin to the Tea Party across state side. Celia is an highly educated women, who seems to have the utmost integrity and respect for Saultites and Northern Ontarians. My educated vote will be for NDP, whether Celia wins or not, I know I made the honourable choice and will be able to sleep at night. REMEMBER...A VOTE FOR ORAZIETTI is a VOTE APPROVING AND CONDONING CORRUPTION and WASTED TAX DOLLARS !!!

Twist Of Fate 6/12/2014 8:51:09 AM Report

Sadly I suspect we are in for more of the same at the end of today. Then the new round of scandals will start tomorrow.
johnnyc 6/12/2014 9:06:08 AM Report

sinikka 6/12/2014 9:21:59 AM Report

i will vote pc because the liberals and ndp contributed to the mess we call ontario. I cannot forgive these two money squandering parties regardless of who the candidate is. I vote against corruption as opposed to voting for a particular candidate. Knowing people like gurpy support the ndp is reason enough for me to vote pc.
Oreo cookie 6/12/2014 9:47:21 AM Report

The only photo of importance will be that of the two socialist losers congratulating Tim Hudac.
j.r.98 6/12/2014 9:48:14 AM Report

I want to send a message. I want to vote. I want to have a say. Maybe i will just decline my vote at the polling station this year as i am just not wanting to vote for any of them. Would that send them all a message. Probably not.
freedom1 6/12/2014 10:13:27 AM Report

listen to Kiefer Sutherland tell the story from his grandfather The Greatest Canadian Tommy Douglas called Mouseland.

Although the story is old its as important today as it was then. This will help you understand why.

psjj: You see helping the less fortunate as a bad thing. When you give money to the poor they spend the money benefiting the economy. Give money to a rich guy he stuffs it away in off shore bank account.

Kiefer Sutherland supports NDP
Sam The Dog 6/12/2014 10:35:12 AM Report

David O. is great for the city and has done well but if the Liberals do not regain power. Does anyone really believe he will be as effective?
ThinkAgain 6/12/2014 10:45:54 AM Report

There are a lot of stupid people in this town, today voting will show true numbers.

You vote Liberal you just kill your kids future
Oreo cookie 6/12/2014 1:04:30 PM Report

@freedom1 Who cares about what a phony Hollywood liberal has to say? NDP is communist and Liberal is socialist...the difference being a communist subdues opposition with a bullet to the back of the head whereas a socialist commits opposers to a GULAG to die slowly, vote CONSERVATIVE.
theprotector 6/12/2014 2:35:28 PM Report

I prefer the poll at the studio
freedom1 6/12/2014 2:48:45 PM Report

@Oreo cookie. Who cares what he has to say. Your thinking just like your selfish, white supremacy fascist CONservative party. Scared of communist that was the phony war on communism before the phony war on drugs before the phony war on terrorism. When CONservatives say they are going to cut 100,000 jobs it will grow to 500,000. Why would you vote for someone who is going to cut jobs? vote in CONservatives till they cut your job then vote in lying liberals wasting billions of dollars then vote back in CONservatives back and forth back and forth. People are waking up it's time for change. CONservatives are FASCISM.
psjj 6/13/2014 7:27:14 AM Report

freedom- It never ceases to amaze me how some people infer so much from so few words.
I am an advocate for helping the less fortunate but if the money has to be borrowed in order to do so who do you suppose has to pay it back?
Note: Comments that appear on the site are not the opinion of If you see an abusive post, please click the link beside the post to report it.
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